Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 87 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 10 May 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 41 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 27 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 7:52PM EDT until May 9 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
Urban PEI: 370,832 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 3, 2026 · score 37 · 12.0 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 37 · 14.1 km
- September 3, 2026 · score 37 · 18.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 43.0259, -77.6698 |
| Nearest City | Henrietta (6 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 370.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-09T23:52:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d2d37baef7c95e12cd4843ec968f47fd |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-09T23:52:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-05-09T23:55:44.025Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Genesee, NY; Livingston, NY; Monroe, NY; Ontario, NY; Wayne, NY; Wyoming, NY; Allegany, NY; Erie, NY; Genesee, NY; Niagara, NY; Orleans, NY; Wyoming, NY |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 7:52PM EDT until May 9 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-05-09T20:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d2d37baef7c95e12cd4843ec968f47fdf87ce52a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7bc51c94b2e70fedc027b4ac9d3fbb8ad6a26193.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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